Wednesday, July 3, 2024

A Commentor Asks An Interesting Question About Rising SECU Delinquency...

https://gearbubble-assets.s3.amazonaws.com/5/1455059/20/235/front.png  ... just beyond belief?

 

From yesterday's comments: "The financial summary for members on the website** shows 3-month delinquency, but you use 60 day which is way higher this year than what ELT [Executive Leadership Team] is reporting to members, which is only a little higher. Do you know why they use 3 month instead of 60 day? has that changed?" 

** From website [link] 

3+ month delinquency:   May, 2023   0.81%   May, 2024   1.04%     +0.23% higher

The federal financial regulators, including the National Credit Union Administration (NCUA), use 60-day delinquency as the reporting "benchmark". Not sure why SECU has chosen to focus on 3+ months (90 days)? Credit unions are required by regulators to charge off many categories of loans after 60 days; so you would generally expect 90 day+ delinquency to be lower than 60+ days.

😎 Here are the actual delinquency figures from the Federal Call Report:  March, 2023 compared to March, 2024:

  • 60+ days total delinquency:  March, 2023  $294 million 
                                                      March, 2024   $700 million                                                                            

Further broken down as follows:

  • 60-89 days:       March, 2023    $46 million    March, 2024   $323 million
  • 90-179 days:     March, 2023  $171 million    March, 2024   $243 million
  • 180-360 days:   March, 2023    $63 million     March, 2024   $113 million
  • >360 days:        March, 2023    $14 million     March, 2024     $21 million
Actual reported loan losses for March (just the 1st quarter): 
 
March, 2024   $72 million
                                                                                             
 March, 2023   $47 million   
                                                                                               
March, 2022   $20 million   
                                                                                               
March, 2021   $17 million 
 
... hard to spin reality! Hope the SECU Board is receiving factual data from staff... it's not debatable, nor funny... nor just a "little higher".