Monday, July 1, 2024

It Takes A Lot Of Time To Refute "Half-A" Analyses! Hope The SECU Board Takes Note...

 https://thepriceofliberty.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/lies-damn-lies-and-then-theres-statistics-mark-twain-620x385.jpg .

But that's okay, as long as you muck about "in good faith"?

😎 Been featuring some of the "expert analyses" being put forth by commenters in the blog. The  "A#1" featured expert has been noted as the "2:13pm/3:16pm commenter" [see 6/27, 6/29, and 6/30 posts here], whose views of the financial performance of SECU don't appear to stand up well to the actual facts. Here's the latest example:

2:13pm/3:16pm commenter: "3) There is continued referenced to losses at half of industry as part of the justification or benefit of one rate for all [as compared to our "new/new" RBL]. Is there a data point that supports that?"

😎 Well, yes there is! Not sure how far back to go, but the National Credit Union Administration's (NCUA) data base goes back 20 years. So lets try that, using the actual facts! The NCUA, the federal credit union regulator, provides the following annual ratios of SECU loan losses compared to other, large, peer credit unions.

✅ For example: 2004 SECU loan loss ratio: .17%, 2004 CU peer loss ratio: .49% [the lower the # the better!] Got it? Here goes... [red denotes better, superior ratio!]

2004   SECU: .17%   CU Peers:  .49%

2005   SECU: .17%   CU Peers:  .48%

2006   SECU: .13%   CU Peers:  .42%

2007   SECU: .11%   CU Peers:  .46%

2008   SECU: .13%   CU Peers:  .79%

2009   SECU: .20%   CU Peers:  1.16.%

2010   SECU: .23%   CU Peers:  1.10%

2011   SECU: .26%   CU Peers:  .89%

2012   SECU: .29%   CU Peers:  .71%

2013   SECU: .21%   CU Peers:  .52%

2014   SECU: .20%   CU Peers:  .45%

2015   SECU: .26%   CU Peers:  .42%

2016   SECU: .33%   CU Peers:  .47%

2017   SECU:  .40%  CU Peers:  .50%

2018   SECU: .45%   CU Peers:  .48%

2019   SECU: .43%   CU Peers:  .46%

2020   SECU: .30%   CU Peers:  .36%

2021   SECU: .20%   CU Peers:  .19%

2022   SECU: .35%   CU Peers:  .24%

2023   SECU: .62%   CU Peers:  .43%

😎 If you take the time to add up each column of numbers and divide by 20 here are the average loan loss ratios over the last 20 years:

✅   SECU loan loss average: .28%  CU peer loan loss average: .58% 

 

... Sorry. That looks to be less than half of "industry standard"...