Wednesday, September 24, 2025

Commenters Hammer SECU ARM As Source Of "Lending Problems"

 https://beconnected.esafety.gov.au/pluginfile.php/52815/mod_resource/content/12/fake-news-hero-img.jpg  What's the truth?

✅ Commenter: Anonymous September 15, 2025 at 2:24 PM

"Just so laughable. 1930's thinking? You literally ran until retirement a 1980's thrift mortgage model. What's being recommended is the current, contemporary being employed by CU's and lenders that don't have 1 billion+ in bad mortgages on their books..."

😎 Do want to take one more moment to do a "Whoa, horse!" on the many comments that have been made along this line. Hopefully, they are just low-rent trolls or low-grade economy model AI responses. You know how unreliable anonymice can be! 

Pretty sure such comments are simply not true. Much room to criticize the "new/new" for poor lending policies, weak underwriting, and suspect collection practices, but none of those are caused by the ARM product.

As we all know, SECU has always been a prominent mortgage lender in North Carolina. Typically around 70% of all loans are mortgages at SECU; a large majority of those mortgages are ARMs! 

Here's a ten year history of actual loan losses at SECU:

Year      Mortgage Loan Charge-offs              Total SECU  Charge-offs 

2017                $9.8 million                                     $84 million

2018                $6.9 million                                     $100 million

2019                 $8 million                                       $102 million

2020                 $5.3 million                                    $73 million

2021                 $390,000 (!)(!)                               $50 million

2022                    $0 (!) (!) (!)                                 $96 million 

2023                 $700,000  (!) (!)                             $197 million

2024                 $8 million (!)                                  $234 million                 

2025                 $2 million (thru 6/30) (!)               $138 million (6/30)

While representing @70% of the total loan portfolio, hope it's clear that even in the worst year (2017),   SECU member mortgage loan charge-offs have always been less than 1/10th of one percent of all mortgage loans.  Folks just don't default very often on their homes, if prudently underwritten! 

Members have always honored their mortgage commitments to SECU - even in pandemics, regardless of up/down interest rates, recessions, job loss, divorce, death. SECU has never put members into mortgages that weren't in their best interest! 

✅ Loan losses are soaring at SECU under the "new/new" - ARMs are not the problem - never have been!

https://img0.etsystatic.com/155/0/11245988/il_340x270.1105290108_6nlb.jpg The "Unbelieveables"...

The Truth About The Historic Trend In Home Mortgage Rates...(Before We Get Off This Topic!)

 ðŸ˜Ž Commenter:  Anonymous September 20, 2025 at 9:36 PM

"Since you went there, it’s easy for anyone to determine if we are in a rising or declining environment based on whether rates are actually moving up and down. So LA knows that, and so does anyone in the free world that tracks rates."

✅ Look at the graph one more time...

Federal Reserve Graph of 10-Year Treasury Note

   

...which is generally used as a base to set home mortgage rates. 

Good bit of snarking in the comments [see here if you have some time to waste!] on whether LA actually has its act together on predicting interest rates. Common sense tells us they have no such ability or they would be sipping a margarita on the beaches of Jamaica, rather than working. Wouldn't you, if you could? 

If as many commenters state "ARMs are better in a declining rate market", take another glance at the FED chart above. If you take the "kinks" out of the chart,  here's how it looks:

https://img.freepik.com/premium-photo/rolled-up-dollar-bills-falling-graph-with-red-down-arrow-business-concept-financial-fall-chart_625925-405.jpg Sure looks like a declining rate market!

😎  The data says there has been a declining rate market for over 40 years - difficult to say exactly what "LA knows"! There is, of course that upward "kink" over the last 18 months. If you haven't been paying attention, the President - and now the Fed! - have pledged to fix that by lowering rates. 

 

 But "anyone in the free world" knows  [see comment above] - LA won't be heading for Jamaica anytime soon.